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Will the first SOO Green Renewable Rail project complete and succeed before 2035?
34%
4
12 comments
12
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47%
5
no comments
0
How many billions of tons of CO₂ will the United States emit in 2035?
4.29
4
6 comments
6
Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?
55%
12
21 comments
21
What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for January 2030, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?
417
2
6 comments
6
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
15%
20
23 comments
23
What percentage of new passenger car sales will be all-electric in Australia in 2030?
47.1
2
1 comment
1
In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?
591
1
no comments
0
AI Technical Benchmarks
A public prediction by Tom Chivers
no comments
0
Tom Chivers
Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
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