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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Zapping Zika #3: 1 million infections in US and its territories by 2018?

resultNo

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?

result81.137k

When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

resultMore than 31 Dec 2021 00:00

When will any currency zone stop printing cash currency?

May 2034

How many countries will recognize Bitcoin as legal tender on 2030-01-01?

3.76
countries

Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?

Haitiresult: No
El Salvadorresult: No
Nicaraguaresult: No
and 3 others

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti62%
and 52 others

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria81%
Haiti70%
Mali61%
and 70 others

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

9
9 comments9
Metaculus Journal Archives