Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How Many Casualties Will There be in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict?
12
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
18%
10
3 comments
3
Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?
15
18 comments
18
If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
20
67 comments
67
Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
No
22
61 comments
61
Ukraine Conflict
How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?
Resolved :
32.8M
14
82 comments
82
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024?
Resolved :
No
13
26 comments
26
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
19
34 comments
34
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
21
71 comments
71
Ukraine Conflict
Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
8 comments
8
Load more