Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 2030?
73%
9
15 comments
15
When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?
2045-12-05
15
10 comments
10
What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?
118
22
8 comments
8
When will there be a handheld and portable genomic sequencing device that costs <$250 (2021 USD)?
2029-04-24
9
6 comments
6
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a whole human genome in 2031?
60
14
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the cost (in 2021 USD) of sequencing a full human genome in the following years?
2023:
341
17
6 comments
6
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?
72%
1
5 comments
5
Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?
Resolved :
No
6
5 comments
5
In the context of community transmission, what will be the recommended minimum % of positive COVID-19 cases that should be sequenced?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
3
9 comments
9