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Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
83%
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6 comments
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Effective Institutions Project
Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
98%
218
147 comments
147
AGI Outcomes
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
33
62 comments
62
AI Demonstrations
Foresight 2020
17
4 comments
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Foresight 2020 Contest
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
4%
16
10 comments
10
Business of AI
What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?
2.96
12
20 comments
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Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on January 1, 2030 in trillions USD?
3.52
7
2 comments
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Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
Methods for Solving Protein Structures
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Metaculus Journal
What if Mooreโs Law breaks ?
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AI Progress Essay Contest
Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?
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AI Progress Essay Contest
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