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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?

resultYes

Commercial speech recognition to soon be better than human?

Ambiguous

When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversaries?

21 Sep 2026

Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?

12%chance

When will the fraction of English books that mention "Deep Learning" peak, over the 2021 to 2045 period (inclusive)?

Dec 2030

Will transformative AI come with a bang?

13
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

Hyperbolic takeoff

7
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

The Westinghouse Contingency

3
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?