• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

resultYes

When will programs write programs for us?

result07 Jul 2021

Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

21 Mar 2024

Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?

resultNo

What will be the value of the (herein described) "AI winter index" at end of 2021?

result-0.5

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26
33 comments33
Metaculus Meta

Best Penn Treebank perplexity of 2019?

result50.1

What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes?

Ambiguous

How much will international AI and ML course enrollment grow over the 2019-2020 period?

Ambiguous

New feature: Multi-modal predictions

23
19 comments19
Metaculus Meta