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Foresight 2020
17
4 comments
4
Foresight 2020 Contest
When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?
2040-11-23
22
17 comments
17
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
2045-08-21
18
18 comments
18
Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?
5%
23
29 comments
29
What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?
194k
16
20 comments
20
When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?
2045-12-05
15
10 comments
10
Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work before 2035?
7%
11
26 comments
26
When will Ethereum be able to do 1,000 transactions per second?
2027-07-20
13
13 comments
13
Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?
67%
9
12 comments
12
When will there be a (classical) polynomial time algorithm for factoring intergers?
2121-01-15
7
10 comments
10
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