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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
27%
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarök Series
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
30%
147
236 comments
236
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?
59%
20
17 comments
17
If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?
4.78k
9
2 comments
2
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
22%
58
68 comments
68
Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?
80%
2
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?
10.9k
7
3 comments
3
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
The Future of Human Spaceflight
10
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
2037-05-28
3
7 comments
7
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.53
14
20 comments
20
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