Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
5.73
20
4 comments
4
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025?
43.5M
1
no comments
0
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2030?
43.7M
1
no comments
0
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?
4.77
9
4 comments
4
Biosecurity Tournament
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
10 comments
10
Research
Metaculus Awarded $5.5M Grant to Advance Forecasting as a Public Good
no comments
0
Programs
Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?
Resolved :
No
2
8 comments
8
Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?
Resolved :
No
2
3 comments
3
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?
Resolved :
No
3
3 comments
3
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard by 2021?
Resolved :
No
9
6 comments
6
Load more