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Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?

resultNo

Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?

resultNo

Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?

resultNo

Pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard by 2021?

resultNo

How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?

5.7
paths

How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

39M $

How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2030?

44.6M $

Will the US re-implement a ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022?

resultNo

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

4.25

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8