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When will the ArmeniaโTurkey border reopen?
2025-12-17
10
27 comments
27
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates?
2030
26%
2025
3%
2024
No
10
20 comments
20
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
1
3 comments
3
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
2.07M
Haiti
1.03M
Sri Lanka
2.29M
4 others
10
7 comments
7
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
6
14 comments
14
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
9
37 comments
37
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
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