Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
๐ณ๏ธ
US Elections
โจ๐
Top Questions
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
36%
2
1 comment
1
Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal
Keep Virginia Safe II Update
12
11 comments
11
Keep Virginia Safe II
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a โPublic Health Emergency of International Concernโ by the World Health Organization before 2030?
33%
3
3 comments
3
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Milk recall due to H5N1
2%
US officials warn against drinking milk
1%
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk
0.2%
4
12 comments
12
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023?
Resolved :
37.5k
5
19 comments
19
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Will a bird flu outbreak among minks on an additional mink farm result in the minks being culled before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
6
8 comments
8
What will be the average price (in cents per dozen) of eggs in the US for the week of Easter?
Resolved :
Annulled
2
4 comments
4
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
What will be the settle price for May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts on April 15, 2024?
Resolved :
238
13
7 comments
7
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup