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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%chance

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023?

result37.45k

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

12
11 comments11
Keep Virginia Safe II

Will a bird flu outbreak among minks on an additional mink farm result in the minks being culled before 2024?

resultYes

What will be the average price (in cents per dozen) of eggs in the US for the week of Easter?

Annulled

What will be the settle price for May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts on April 15, 2024?

result238

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%chance

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1result: No
US officials warn against drinking milkresult: No
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milkresult: No