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Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
33%
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13 comments
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A public prediction by Ajeya Cotra
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Ajeya Cotra
How many of the claims from study 3 of "Behavioral nudges reduce failure to appear for court" (Science, 2020) replicate?
2
Yes
1
No
1.5
No
2 others
5
8 comments
8
Transparent Replications
How many of the three claims from study 4 of "Behavioral nudges reduce failure to appear for court" (Science, 2020) will replicate?
2
No
3
Yes
1
No
1 other
2
2 comments
2
Transparent Replications