Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?
2040-09-30
11
12 comments
12
Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?
2%
22
16 comments
16
Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?
90%
10
24 comments
24
When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?
2030-09-14
12
13 comments
13
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
96%
20 others
36
249 comments
249
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
33.3%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
Will at least one US state secede by 2070?
9%
7
8 comments
8
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
91.8
2
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election?
Resolved :
No
18
10 comments
10
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
Resolved :
No
36
67 comments
67
Load more