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What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

resultNo

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

2%chance

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Annulled

Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?

resultNo

What will be CDC's highest assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public before January 1, 2025?

Lowresult: Yes
Moderateresult: No
Very Lowresult: No
and 2 others

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes
United Statesresult: Yes
Zambiaresult: Yes
and 12 others
condition

Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States)

Resolved:Yes
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

5%
5%
Resolved:No

HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled
2
no comments0
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