• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?

2%chance

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.85B
people

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?

375k
people

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

37.5%

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

8.57%

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?

30.9k $

Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological plus digital humans)?

32.3k $

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

6.68%

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s inequality level (Gini index)?

49.5
Gini