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When will Ukrainian ground forces enter Russia?

Annulled

Will Ukrainian military forces strike targets more than 10 kilometers inside Russian territory?

result05 Dec 2022 14:00

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

resultNo

On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia?

resultYes

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Velyka Novosilka99%
Ivanivske97%
Kostyantynivka69%
and 13 others

Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?

99%chance
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
40 forecasters
if yes
if no

Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

90%
90%

Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

73%
73%
Resolved:Annulled
5
no comments0

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

resultNo