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Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?

resultNo

Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?

resultNo

Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?

resultYes

Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?

resultNo

Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will any states flip from the current projected winner?

resultNo

When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?

Jan 2031

Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?

resultYes

Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?

Alaskaresult: Yes
Ohioresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
and 20 others

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Texas50%
California35%
Florida20%
and 47 others