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[Short fuse] Will 538's election forecast rate Trump's chances higher than the forecast from The Economist?

resultYes

Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

resultNo

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
12 comments12
Economist 2021

What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?

result5.28

How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?

result21

When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?

2085

When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?

Feb 2054

When will The Economist rank Russia as a hybrid regime or better in its Democracy Index?

Sep 2041

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

40%chance

What will be The Economist's estimated global excess deaths due to COVID-19 on January 1, 2023?

result21M