• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023?

resultNo

What will be the combined annual revenue of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023?

Annulled

What will be the market cap of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023?

resultLess than 700

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

58%chance

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

resultYes

When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?

result28 May 2024 12:00

Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023?

resultYes
condition

Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
9 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

19 Apr 2026

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

23 Nov 2025
Resolved:Annulled
4
no comments0

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99%chance

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?

resultYes