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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

resultNo

Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

9%chance

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

resultNo

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14
5 comments5
Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance

Population Crashes: The Deadliest Events In History

8
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9%chance

If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

10%chance

Will AI-enabled automation constitute more than half of the World's GDP by the end of the Century?

6
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest