• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will a state actor conduct an ASAT test that results in space debris between 2021 - 2023?

resultYes

If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?

Aug 2040

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

7%chance

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

09 Oct 2028

Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025?

resultNo

What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?

11.2 t

Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025?

resultNo

Announcing the Sagan Space Tournament

19
13 comments13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate