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Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

resultNo

Pandemic series: will a terrorist group reportedly obtain viable bioweapon sample?

resultNo

Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

5%chance

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?

result4867

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?

result395

How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

272

What will be the R0 of monkeypox according to the mean estimate of the first relevant systematic review?

Annulled

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?

result294