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How many of the companies in China's 'AI Quartet' (not counting SenseTime) will be public before 2024?

result1

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

resultYes

When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?

result28 May 2024 12:00
condition

Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
9 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

19 Apr 2026

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

23 Nov 2025
Resolved:Annulled
4
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