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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Ron DeSantis be re-elected as Governor of Florida in 2022?

resultYes

Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?

1%chance

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Mike Penceresult: No
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
and 14 others

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?

resultNo
condition

Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?

Resolved:No
98 forecasters
if yes
if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

90%
90%
Resolved:Annulled

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

52%
52%
Resolved:No
21
7 comments7

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

J.D. Vanceresult: Yes
Tucker Carlsonresult: No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.result: No
and 26 others
condition

Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot?

Resolved:No
95 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)

98%
98%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump)

99%
99%
Resolved:Yes
5
8 comments8
Conditional Cup

Will any additional Republican candidates for president drop out before 2024?

resultYes