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Will Google make a "watershed" announcement about quantum computing in early December?

resultNo

Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?

resultNo

When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?

Ambiguous

Will chess be "weakly solved" by 2035?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

10%chance

Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

25%chance

Will quantum computing "supremacy” be achieved by 2025?

resultYes

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

Jan 2040

When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?

Jul 2040

When will it be possible to buy Quantum Computing via the Cloud?

Ambiguous

What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022?

resultMore than 600