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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will a university other than Oxford or Cambridge be ranked first in the Times & Sunday Times Good University Guide 2023 again?

resultNo

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

30.9%chance

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%chance

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%chance
condition

Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030?

15 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

12%
12%

US-China war before 2035?

11%
11%
4
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

15%
15%

US-China war before 2035?

23%
23%
1
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?

17 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

3%
3%

US-China war before 2035?

5%
5%
3
1 comment1
The Taiwan Tinderbox

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

04 Apr 2030
condition

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024?

Resolved:No
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

71.2k
Resolved:Annulled

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

70.3k
Resolved:69.642k stations
2
2 comments2
Conditional Cup