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Will Trumps Rally in Phoenix at the Dream City Church result in a spike of COVID-19 infections?

resultNo

What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2020-10-25 through 2020-10-31?

result61.183

What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?

result55.77

What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2020-12-20 through 2020-12-26?

result54.04

What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?

result61.65

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

00

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.16
states

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%chance