• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C?

resultNo

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

20%chance

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

70%chance

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

97%chance

How much global warming by 2100?

3.11 °C

How much less global warming if the US resumes participation in the Paris Agreement?

result-0.00625

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

Jan 2043

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

44.3
Gt CO₂e

If Bernie Sanders becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?

Ambiguous

How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?

123k
buses