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Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?

resultNo

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2018?

resultNo

Will OpenAI's machine system defeat a pro team at Dota 2 in August?

resultYes

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

result2

Will OpenAI Five win the majority of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

resultNo

Short-fuse question: Will OpenAI Five win the *first* of its DotA 2 matches at The International?

resultNo

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2019?

resultNo

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

result33.926M

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2020?

resultNo

When will OpenAI unveil their secret AI project?

Ambiguous