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If the UK leaves the EU, will there be a resurgence of the Troubles between Ireland and Northern Ireland?

Annulled

Will Northern Ireland hold a reunification referendum before 2030?

21%chance

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

Labourresult: 411
Conservativeresult: 121
Liberal Democratresult: 72
and 8 others

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

3%chance

What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

Will Ireland and Northern Ireland reunite before the following years?