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Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?

54%chance

Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050?

32.3%chance

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

Jun 2032

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?

result2419

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

result-28

How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks in the next six months?

result3

How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022?

result9

How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2023?

Ambiguous

An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?

16
4 comments4

In 2023, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

result3845