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Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

resultYes

Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?

resultNo

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

result49

Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?

resultNo

Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?

Alaskaresult: Yes
Ohioresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
and 20 others

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Texas50%
California35%
Florida20%
and 47 others

2024 Election Hub Update

20
4 comments4

Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?

30%chance

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

resultNo