• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Donald Trump resign from the office of U.S. president before the end of his first term?

resultNo

Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?

resultNo

Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?

resultNo

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?

resultYes

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes
Jim Banks (R)result: No
Donald Trump (R)result: No
and 10 others

Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?

resultNo

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Elise Stefanik (R)result: No
and 18 others
condition

Next US Speaker of the House? (Steve Scalise (R))

Resolved:No
5 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

43%
43%
Resolved:Annulled

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

65%
65%
Resolved:No
1
1 comment1

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

20352%
20301%