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Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
7 comments7
Metaculus Cup

Will Ralph Norman declare his candidacy for the US Senate race in South Carolina before July 1, 2025?

Annulled

Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

66%chance

Before July 1, 2025, will Discord announce that it is planning an IPO?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

65%chance

Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

7
1 comment1
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will any major league baseball player have a .400 batting average on June 1, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

25%chance

Will the Colorado Rockies have the lowest winning percentage in the MLB on June 15, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

85%chance

Will any jurisdictions be added to or removed from the FATF "black list" following the FATF Plenary meeting in June 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

25%chance

Who will AOC endorse in the NYC mayoral Democratic primary?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Zohran Mamdani37.7%
Brad Lander25.9%
No endorsement23.5%
and 3 others

What will be the reported value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for April 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

≥324 and ≤32629.3%
>326 and <32825.8%
≥329 and ≤33117.6%
and 3 others