• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

For how many countries will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice by May 15, due to the novel coronavirus?

resultMore than 60

When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?

17 Jun 2028

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

75%chance
condition

China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?

11 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

20%
20%

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)

36%
36%
1
3 comments3
The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary47.8%
Yes, non-adversary owner42.4%
No9.8%

Will the Communist Party of China continuously control the Chinese government until the year 2100?

25%chance