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Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?

resultNo

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?

resultYes

Will Ukraine fulfill its Minsk-II obligations in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblast by 2023?

Ambiguous

Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?

resultNo

When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions?

resultMore than 01 Jan 2024 00:00

Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

US/NATO Ops in UAAnnulled
No US/NATO Ops in UAresult: No

Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

resultNo

On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol?

resultNo
condition

Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023?

Resolved:No
33 forecasters
if yes
if no

Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024

33%
33%
Resolved:Annulled

Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024

8%
8%
Resolved:No
4
no comments0

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

1%chance