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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

resultNo

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?

resultNo

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

result-28

In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?

resultNo

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

5%chance

Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?

resultNo

How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?

resultLess than 3000

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

16%chance

How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?

11.7
countries

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

9%chance