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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will the banana plague reach Latin America?

resultNo

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

result35.249k

Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?

resultNo

What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?

result91.3

Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?

Sudanresult: 4.476311M
Azerbaijanresult: 706.532k
Sri Lankaresult: 171.791k
and 4 others

Will Israel join the EU before 2050?

1%chance

What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with significant or greater impact on US interests on January 1, 2024?

result9

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti62%
and 52 others

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

resultNo