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Will the “unknown pneumonia” outbreak in Kazakhstan turn out to be caused by a pathogen other than Covid-19?

resultNo

What will be the total aggregate score given to Russia by Freedom House in 2023?

Annulled

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?

resultNo

Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates?

March 1, 2023result: No
July 1, 2023result: No

Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024?

resultNo

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti62%
and 52 others

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87%
Albania82.5%
and 17 others

Will Russia purchase an American weapons system before 2050?

10%chance