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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?

resultNo

When will the first fully automated McDonalds open in the United States?

01 Sep 2029

Will Chase Bank send a notice to customers about updates to its security protocols, referencing the threat of social engineering attacks that can be attributed to LLMs, before 2024?

resultNo

Will the KBW Bank Index record at least a 33% drop from January 3, 2023 levels before May 1, 2023?

resultNo

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?

58%chance
condition

Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?

11 forecasters
if yes
if no

One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025

61%
61%

One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025

10%
10%
-1
no comments0

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

8%chance