• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
no comments0

Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?

resultNo

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023?

Gas/Oil Pipelineresult: No
Aviationresult: No
Water Treatmentresult: No
and 2 others

Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?

Level 1result: No
Level 2result: No
Level 3result: No

Will 85% of Chrome users have cookies deprecated before June 2026?

20%chance

Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024?

Inflectionresult: No
Metaresult: No
OpenAIresult: No
and 2 others

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

No Restrictionresult: Yes
Restricted Use for Specific Groupsresult: No
Licensing for Useresult: No
and 4 others

Before 2026, how many US states will pass legislation regulating deepfakes?

34.9
states