• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?

resultYes
condition

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024?

Resolved:No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no

1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?

66%
66%
Resolved:Annulled

1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?

3%
3%
2
4 comments4
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

resultNo

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

resultNo
condition

Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?

Resolved:No
28 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Iran War Before 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:Annulled

US Iran War Before 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
2
no comments0
Conditional Cup

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

resultYes
condition

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024?

Resolved:No
30 forecasters
if yes
if no

US Iran War Before 2025?

8%
8%
Resolved:Annulled

US Iran War Before 2025?

1%
1%
Resolved:No
6
2 comments2
Conditional Cup