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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?

result81.137k

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

20306%
2024result: No
2025result: No

Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?

resultYes

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

66%chance

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%chance

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

9
9 comments9
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