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Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

47%chance

Will enough signatures be gathered to schedule a recall election for California Govenor Gavin Newsom?

resultYes

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

resultYes

Who will win the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election if Newsom is recalled?

Ambiguous

Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?

resultYes

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Mike Penceresult: No
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
and 17 others

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
and 13 others

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?

resultNo

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

205142.6%
204122.5%
203112.4%