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Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?

resultNo

Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?

resultNo

Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?

resultNo

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

2.5%chance

How many months after a Western actor trains a 1e26 FLOP model (~5x GPT-4) will a Chinese actor do so?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

11.6

Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?

1%chance