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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

condition

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030?

7 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

10%
10%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

5%
5%
2
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

7 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

9%
9%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

2%
2%
1
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

10%
10%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

5%
5%
1
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030)

7 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

6%
6%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

5%
5%
1
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox