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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?

resultNo

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

5%chance

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

20%chance

Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?

resultNo

How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?

resultLess than 3000

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

9%chance

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous
LatviaAmbiguous
LithuaniaAmbiguous
and 9 others

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%
Poland30%
Estonia30%
and 9 others

Will Estonia legalize gay marriage in 2023?

resultYes

Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest?

Switzerlandresult: Yes
Croatiaresult: No
Otherresult: No
and 5 others