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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

resultYes

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26
33 comments33
Metaculus Meta

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

33%chance

[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?

resultNo

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

7.5%chance

What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?

Key Factor

Institutional investors might allocate as much as 6.5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, which could significantly increase its value.

214k $

Key Factor

Institutional investors might allocate as much as 6.5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, which could significantly increase its value.

Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?

Ambiguous

If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

5011

How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?

68.3%

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%chance