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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?

resultNo

When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?

15 Apr 2029

Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?

66.7%chance

Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?

3%chance

How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?

5.98
species

What will be the estimated population of blue whales in 2050?

27.6k
whales

If we find life on an icy moon of the gas giants by 2200, will we also find evidence of macrofauna?

12%chance

When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?

Feb 2036

What will be the level of anthropogenic methane emissions in 2050?

10.2
GtCO2e/year

Will the main finding of study 1 from “Relational diversity in social portfolios predicts well-being” in PNAS replicate?

resultYes